The correlation between crude oil price and key geopolitical events. An investigation of crude death rate of terroristic attacks and Pandemics from 1968 to 2019

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dc.contributor.advisor Paradiso, Antonio it_IT
dc.contributor.author Bianco, Ilaria <1995> it_IT
dc.date.accessioned 2020-10-15 it_IT
dc.date.accessioned 2021-06-22T10:00:54Z
dc.date.issued 2020-10-28 it_IT
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10579/18480
dc.description.abstract In the aftermath of the analysis of oil prices, I analyse real crude oil price during 1968-2019 using a model which incorporates standard demand and supply factors, proxies for speculative activity, Middle East terroristic attacks crude-death-rate and Pandemics crude-death-rates. Hong Kong Flu (1968-1969) and Swine Flue (2009-2010) are the Pandemic events discussed. Generally I test which of the variables has the strongest correlation to crude oil prices over the time-frame. More specifically I address the correlation between oil prices and death tolls. Research results reinfore evidences for Middle East supremacy in global oil markets. it_IT
dc.language.iso en it_IT
dc.publisher Università Ca' Foscari Venezia it_IT
dc.rights © Ilaria Bianco, 2020 it_IT
dc.title The correlation between crude oil price and key geopolitical events. An investigation of crude death rate of terroristic attacks and Pandemics from 1968 to 2019 it_IT
dc.title.alternative Crude oil price determinants: market forces, marginal costs and key geopolitical events from 1968 to 2019. it_IT
dc.type Master's Degree Thesis it_IT
dc.degree.name Global development and entrepreneurship it_IT
dc.degree.level Laurea magistrale it_IT
dc.degree.grantor Dipartimento di Economia it_IT
dc.description.academicyear 2019-2020_Sessione autunnale it_IT
dc.rights.accessrights closedAccess it_IT
dc.thesis.matricno 875165 it_IT
dc.subject.miur SECS-P/05 ECONOMETRIA it_IT
dc.description.note In the aftermath of the analysis of oil prices, I analyse real crude oil price during 1968-2019 using a model which incorporates standard demand and supply factors, proxies for speculative activity, Middle East terroristic attacks crude-death-rate, Epidemics crude-death-rates and Economic Uncertainty Index. I test which of the variables has the strongest correlation to crude oil prices over the time-frame. The Analysis is an application of econometrics equilibrium theory in oligopoly, where crude oil prices are driven by marginal costs of production. Research’s results reinforce evidences for OPEC supremacy in global oil markets, influential role of speculators. it_IT
dc.degree.discipline it_IT
dc.contributor.co-advisor it_IT
dc.date.embargoend 10000-01-01
dc.provenance.upload Ilaria Bianco (875165@stud.unive.it), 2020-10-15 it_IT
dc.provenance.plagiarycheck Antonio Paradiso (antonio.paradiso@unive.it), 2020-10-19 it_IT


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